Alexey Vatutin vs Lorenzo Carboni Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Vatutin has a slight advantage with a 43.8% success rate compared to Carboni's 40.94% over the last six months. How crucial is the second serve in determining the match outcome? It often serves as a key indicator of resilience under pressure.
• Return Game Stats: Carboni has a minor edge in return game statistics, winning 47.31% of opponent's second serves and 32.61% of first serve returns, while Vatutin manages 46.88% and 31.3% respectively. Can these slight differences influence the match result? Yes, because effective returns can disrupt the opponent's service rhythm.
• Under Pressure: Carboni has demonstrated slightly better composure, saving 53.48% of breakpoints compared to Vatutin's 49.56%. This indicates Carboni's edge in critical moments during matches.
• Performance Overview: Both players have similar win rates over the past year, with Vatutin at 60.27% and Carboni at 60%. This suggests a closely matched encounter overall.
• Best Surface: Carboni shows a stronger hard court performance with a 68% win rate compared to Vatutin's 60%. Could this give Carboni an extra edge? It's likely, considering the match is held on hard courts.
• Player Level: Carboni's main experience comes from Futures/Satellite events with a 65.52% win rate, whereas Vatutin has competed more in Challenger/ITF tournaments with a 57.14% win rate. How does the level of competition affect their readiness? Higher-level play may translate to better adaptability and resilience.
• Opponent Quality: Vatutin has faced lower-ranked players (average rank 396.84), while Carboni has battled against higher-caliber opponents (average rank 191.37), potentially indicating Carboni's readiness for tougher challenges.
• Deciding Set Performance: Vatutin has demonstrated strength in deciding sets, winning 65% compared to Carboni's 56%, which could be crucial if the match goes to the wire.
• Break Point Conversion: Carboni excels in converting break points, with a rate of 39% over Vatutin's 32.86%, indicating a potent ability to seize opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (August 19, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Vatutin and Carboni presents an interesting clash with both players showing strengths in different areas.

While Vatutin has a marginally better second serve performance and excels in deciding set scenarios, Carboni appears to have a slight advantage in return game efficiency and breakpoint conversion.

Additionally, Carboni's superior results on hard courts and experience against higher-ranked opponents might just position him more favorably in this matchup.

Overall, despite Vatutin's resilience under pressure, Carboni's well-rounded skills and track record on this surface make him the likely favorite to clinch the win in this forthcoming tennis encounter.